Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.002676 0.002856 0.003051 0.003278 0.003538 0.003828 0.004180
2025-01-19 0.002409 0.002654 0.002935 0.003286 0.003721 0.004254 0.004978
2025-01-26 0.002118 0.002375 0.002678 0.003073 0.003587 0.004256 0.005241
2025-02-02 0.002007 0.002289 0.002633 0.003100 0.003741 0.004636 0.006088
2025-02-09 0.001949 0.002257 0.002646 0.003195 0.003991 0.005190 0.007369
2025-02-16 0.001870 0.002191 0.002606 0.003209 0.004122 0.005585 0.008538
2025-02-23 0.001839 0.002182 0.002637 0.003323 0.004417 0.006313 0.010744
2025-03-02 0.001759 0.002102 0.002564 0.003274 0.004440 0.006567 0.012056
2025-03-09 0.001677 0.002014 0.002472 0.003186 0.004387 0.006657 0.013011
2025-03-16 0.001649 0.001997 0.002480 0.003253 0.004606 0.007356 0.016507
2025-03-23 0.001620 0.001978 0.002481 0.003307 0.004811 0.008095 0.021462
2025-03-30 0.001572 0.001928 0.002435 0.003279 0.004855 0.008470 0.025702
2025-04-06 0.001502 0.001848 0.002343 0.003176 0.004754 0.008490 0.028433
2025-04-13 0.001461 0.001807 0.002309 0.003167 0.004846 0.009083 0.038653
2025-04-20 0.001375 0.001699 0.002167 0.002963 0.004511 0.008353 0.033310
2025-04-27 0.001350 0.001677 0.002156 0.002987 0.004657 0.009115 0.051021
2025-05-04 0.001341 0.001678 0.002181 0.003076 0.004960 0.010567 0.143058
2025-05-11 0.001316 0.001655 0.002165 0.003089 0.005095 0.011541 1.152539
2025-05-18 0.001311 0.001662 0.002198 0.003195 0.005477 0.013917 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001277 0.001622 0.002153 0.003149 0.005467 0.014476 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001238 0.001574 0.002092 0.003068 0.005352 0.014416 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001228 0.001571 0.002104 0.003130 0.005634 0.016984 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001217 0.001563 0.002110 0.003181 0.005900 0.020070 NaN